Our Australian Open tipsters have found 3 big value tips for day 4 at the Australian Open. After going over all the key stats and form, the bookmakers appear to have got a couple of matches very wrong.
N Djokovic 3-0 @ $2.12
The head to head between Djokovic and Monfils really says it all, with the Serb holding a commanding 13-0 record over the Frenchman. Despite coming back from injury those stats are enough to warrant taking Djokovic to get the job done as he clearly matches up well against the big hitting Monfils. He didn't show any signs that he was underdone in his round one victory against Donald Young when winning in straight sets.
Monfils has had a good year himself winning his open round in straight sets to back up his win in Qatar to open the year. Monfils was also coming back from injury after we hadn't seen him since retiring at the US Open, but its his terrible record against top players (particularly Djokovic) which makes him worth fading here.
A Sasnovich @ $1.68
Sasnovich comes into this match in much the better form, the Belarusian ended 2017 with a Fed Cup win over Sloane Stephens and has kicked off the new year in the best form of her career. She backed up her finals appearance in Brisbane with a straight sets win over McHale in the opening round of the Australian Open.
Lucic-Baroni wasn't quite as impressive in her opening round win, surviving in a tough three set match to Shelby Rogers. Her previous form this year wasn't as strong as Sasnovich either with a first round retirement in Sydney after losing in the second round of Brisbane.
A Sevastova +4.5 @ $1.62
This is a much closer match up than the odds suggest. Sevastova and Sharapova have played twice before (both in 2017) with the ledger sitting at 1-1 and both matches being tight 3 set contests. Sevastova’s form lately has been strong as well. She backed up making the quarter finals at the US Open with a solid semi finals appearance in Brisbane this year.
There should be very little in this contest and with the plus points Sevastova is by far the better value.
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