BBL06 Preview & Betting Tips

 
 

 Adelaide Strikers

 
 
Brad Hodge (c), Wes Agar, Alex Carey, Jono Dean, Ben Dunk, Travis Head, Jon Holland, Chris Jordan, Ben Laughlin, Jake Lehmann, Tim Ludeman, Michael Neser, Kieron Pollard, Adil Rashid, Kane Richardson, Craig Simmons, Kelvin Smith, Billy Stanlake, Jake Weatherald
 
 
The Strikers dominated the regular season last year going into the finals with a 7-1 record before losing to the Thunder in the Semi Finals.
 
 
Their bowling stocks have taken a hit this season with leading spinner Adil Rashid unavailable to play due to international duties. They will also be without Mahela Jayawardene at the top of the order this year but have brought in Ben Dunk from the Hurricanes to fill that spot.
 
 
Most exciting for the Strikers though is seeing the big West Indian Kieron Pollard back lining up in the blue. He is one of the biggest hitters in world cricket and the Strikers middle order missed him last season. They will likely have to do without Travis Head in the second half of the season however with the gun left hander having cemented his spot in the Australian ODI side.
 
 
They have got out to very lucrative odds at $9 with Sportsbet and could well be worth backing early and then possibly laying off if need be before losing Head to international duty.
 
 
Most Runs: Brad Hodge @ $7
The captain is always a steadying force at the top of the order and with Travis Head so short at $5 in the market i think we can find value elsewhere with him going to be missing in the second half of the season.
 
 

Brisbane Heat

 
 
Brendon McCullum (c), Chris Lynn, Samuel Badree, Joe Burns, Ben Cutting, Alex Doolan, Andrew Fekete, Luke Feldman, Jason Floros, Sam Heazlett, Marnus Labuschagne, Josh Lalor, James Peirson, Nathan Reardon, Alex Ross, Mark Steketee, Mitchell Swepson, Jack Wildermuth
 
 
The good news for the Heat is that unless Chris Lynn does something remarkable their list will all be available through BBL06.
 
 
The top end talent for the Heat is as good as any team in the league, with Chris Lynn and Brendan McCullum coming in at the top of the order. They have the ability to beat any team on their day just on the back of those 2 players, however as usual for the Heat their bowling stocks are severely lacking. They could be a team where there is some value betting on their matches live in play.
 
 
They are a team that could be worth backing as underdogs in matches, but over the course of a season it is hard to see their bowlers doing enough to contain the other teams.
 
 
Most Runs: Brendan McCullum @ $3.75
It looks a 2 horse race between McCullum and Lynn but with Lynn being rock bottom odds and an outside chance of being called up to the Australian team if he does fire, the value looks to be with McCullum.
 
 

Hobart Hurricanes

 
 
George Bailey (c), Cameron Boyce, Stuart Broad, Dan Christian, Hamish Kingston, Ben McDermott, Dom Michael, Simon Milenko, Tim Paine, Sam Rainbird, Jake Reed, Clive Rose, Kumar Sangakkara, Shaun Tait, Jonathan Wells
 
 
While the Hurricanes have lost a couple of decent names over the off season in Ben Dunk and Darren Sammy, they pick up a big inclusion to their bowling stocks with England’s Stuart Broad.
 
 
Their line up does look a bit thin though and with captain George Bailey almost certain to miss the second half of the season for the ODI series it will only get tougher in the second half. They are the outsiders with Sportsbet at odds of $11 for a good reason and it’s hard to see them causing many problems for other teams this season.
 
 
Most Wickets: Shaun Tait @ $5.50
While the big man can go for a few run with his wild style, he does still pick up wickets especially bowling at the death so as third pick in the market he does look decent value here.
 
 

Melbourne Renegades

 
 
Aaron Finch (c), Dwayne Bravo, Tom Beaton, Tom Cooper, Xavier Doherty, Callum Ferguson, Marcus Harris, Brad Hogg, Sunil Narine, Peter Nevill, James Pattinson, Nathan Rimmington, Peter Siddle, Matthew Short, Chris Tremain, Matthew Wade, Cameron White, Nick Winter
 
 
The absence of Chris Gayle is really going to be felt at the top of the Renegades line up this season, he was their leading run scorer and a dynamic presence at the top of the order.
 
 
Last season it was their bowling that really let them down but that could do a full 180 this season because while they have picked up key bowling stocks in Brag Hogg and Sunil Narine, they will likely be without Matthew Wade and Aaron Finch for the majority of the tournament to add to the loss of Gayle.
 
 
There also has to be question marks over whether Siddle and Pattinson will be called up to the Australian side at any time.
 
 
They go into the tournament as the $5.50 second favourite which just looks far too short especially with the players they are likely to be missing.
 
 
Most Runs: Tom Cooper @ $8
With the Renegades middle order likely to be exposed regularly this season it could leave the door open for a player like Cooper to see plenty of action and perhaps even be moved up the order.
 
 

Melbourne Stars

 
 
David Hussey (c), Michael Beer, Scott Boland, James Faulkner, Seb Gotch, Evan Gulbis, Peter Handscomb, Sam Harper, John Hastings, Ben Hilfenhaus, Glenn Maxwell, Kevin Pietersen, Rob Quiney, Marcus Stoinis, Tom Triffit, Daniel Worrall, Luke Wright, Adam Zampa
 
 
The Stars come into this season with a very steady line up with no changes made from last season, but their bowling line stocks could be tested a bit early with leading wicket taker and number one death bowler John Hastings likely to miss the start of the season with a leg injury.
 
 
All of Faulkner, Maxwell and Zampa could be missing in the second half of the tournament too with the 3 likely to be called up for Australia’s ODI series against Pakistan.
 
 
Most Wickets: Scott Boland @ $3.50
With Hastings, Faulkner and Zampa all set to miss big chunks of the season it really opens the door up for Boland to step up here. He should see quite a bit of the new ball and be bowled at the death giving him the best opportunity to pick up wickets.
 
 

Perth Scorchers

 
 
Adam Voges (c), Ashton Agar, Cameron Bancroft, Jason Behrendorff, Ian Bell, Hilton Cartwright, Nathan Coulter-Nile, Mitchell Johnson, Michael Klinger, Mitchell Marsh, Shaun Marsh, James Muirhead, Joel Paris, Jhye Richardson, Ashton Turner, Andrew Tye, Sam Whiteman, David Willey
 
 
In the past the Scorchers biggest weapon has been their bowling, but that looks completely shattered for this season. If losing their number one spinner in Brag Hogg over the off season wasn’t bad enough, their pace attack has been decimated by injury with Behrendorff, Coulter-Nile, Paris, Richardson and Tye all facing setbacks and David Willey likely to be missing in the second half of the tournament with international commitments.
 
Even Mitchell Johnson has had a limited preparation due to illness.
 
 
They will also likely be without Mitch Marsh due to international duties, and brother Shaun is also on the cusp of getting a call up for the Australian team. So it is hard to get too enthused about their chances with so many players either coming in under injury clouds or going to have limited matches
 
 
English batsman Ian Bell is a handy pick up for them though, but he will have to fire for them to be a legitimate chance this season.
Remarkably they will start the season as the $5 favourites but that looks poison unders and they could drop a few games early with players having limited preparation.
 
 
Most Runs: Ian Bell @ $4.50
 
 

Sydney Sixers

 
 
Moises Henriques (c), Sean Abbott, Sam Billings, Jackson Bird, Doug Bollinger, Johan Botha, Ryan Carters, Ben Dwarshuis, Brad Haddin, Josh Hazlewood, Daniel Hughes, Nic Maddinson, Joe Mennie, Nathan Lyon, Steve O'Keefe, Jason Roy, Jordan Silk, Mitch Starc

 
Starc and Hazlewood will clearly be occupied with Australian duties so we won’t be seeing much (if any) of them. You can also add Lyon, Bird and Maddinson to the list who will possibly be missing early due to the Test series.
 
Unfortunately the stars on their list won’t see game time, which leaves them fairly thin on for top end talent, especially in the bowling stocks. They have a lot of decent battlers but no one to really take it to the opposition on their own.
 
Most Wickets: Sean Abbott @ $4
Even though he has a pretty poor economy rate, he picks up a good amount of wickets as he showed last year as their leading wicket taker. The Sixers don’t have many strike bowlers in their line up so he does look a good bet at the $4 odds.
 
 

Sydney Thunder

 
 
Shane Watson (c), Fawad Ahmed, Aiden Blizzard, Pat Cummins, Jake Doran, Ryan Gibson, Chris Green, Usman Khawaja, Nathan McAndrew, Alister McDermott, Clint McKay, Eoin Morgan, Arjun Nair, Kurtis Patterson, Ben Rohrer, Andre Russell, Gurinder Sandhu, Jason Sangha
 
Last years champions the Thunder look a decent chance to go back to back, but unfortunately their side looks like it is going to chop and change a lot with players coming in and out due to international commitments.
 
Shane Watson will miss the opening couple of matches due to a calf injury, while Usman Khawaja will be missing early due to the Test against Pakistan as well. They will also have to do without Cummins for the second half of the season due to the ODI series and Eoin Morgan will only be available for the start of the tournament before leaving to captain England’s ODI squad.
 
Most Runs: Kurtis Patterson @ $4.50
He comes into the tournament in some of the best form of his career and should be a consistent presence toward the top of the Thunder’s line up, while other stars are coming in and out around him during the season.
 
 

Season Predictions

 
BBL06 Champions: Adelaide Strikers $9 with Sportsbet
 
Top Tournament Run Scorer: Ian Bell $26 with Sportsbet
Top Tournament Wicket Taker: Dwayne Bravo $10 with Sportsbet
Tournament Fastest 50: Brendan McCullum $10 with Sportsbet


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