It's one of the most open Blue Diamond Stakes in recent memory but our expert horse racing tipsters have gone over the race in full and identified the best two Blue Diamond tips as well as finding a roughie at huge odds that seems to have slipped under the radar. We have also put together a full Caulfield preview giving punters the best Caulfield tips and roughies for all the major races.
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Race 1 (Mornington Cup Prelude)
Looking towards the top of the market for value here with those up in the weights getting in well against their less accomplished rivals. With one run under his belt already this campaign Gallic Chieftain has to go on top as the horse to beat. He ran on strongly to fill a place when first up here last time and had good form around G1 performed horses like Jon Snow, Boom Time and Lord Fandango during the spring.
Hardest to beat might be the newcomer to Australia from the Lloyd Williams stable in Homesman. He is a G3 winner overseas and ran a very good 3rd in the G1 Derby Invitation at Belmont Park when last seen so definitely has the ability for a race like this and from the Williams stable he will be fit enough to perform over this trip first up.
Have to throw the Melbourne Cup winner Almandin into the mix as well. Even though his form tapered off last prep he still has a clear class edge and ran a very good 2nd with 61kg on his back when first up over this trip last time.
Race 3 (Zeditave Stakes)
After running them along in the G2 Autumn Stakes last time and only being claimed late Prevailing Winds looks well suited to bounce back here. Dropping back to 1200m where all of his previous wins have come and from barrier one he should go straight to the front and be very hard to get past.
On the back of a decent trial Piracy looks likely to be the hardest to beat. His 1200m form last prep was very strong with the only flop coming up the straight at Flemington where the 1000m was just too sharp for him.
At each way odds Plutocracy is worth throwing into the mix as well. He returned with a runner up performance at Morphettville and his form during the spring lines up very well for a race like this with form around Jukebox, Catchy and Snitzepeg.
Race 5 (Mannerism Stakes)
As a G1 winner Silent Sedition should have far too much class for her rivals here. First up she travelled brilliantly into the race but just peaked on her run at the end but with a very good second up record expect her to have come right on for the run. She was huge second up in the Tristarc over this course during the spring.
Despite being first up at a distance short of her best Wheal Leisure is another whose class should bring her to the fore. She was beating good horses like Lord Fandango and Hardham during the spring and with two wins from her previous two first up runs there is no reason to suggest she couldn't run a race early in her prep.
Throw Samovare into exotics as well first up after a nice looking jumpout performance.
Race 6 (Futurity Stakes)
Quite a number of these horses are coming through unlucky runs in the Orr but for mine Lord Of The Sky was the pick of the horses to come out of that race. After missing the kick he had to be used up to find the lead but still kept on kicking in the straight to go down less than a length. Connections have been very bullish about how he has progressed since that run as well.
Another who had little luck in the Orr was the Caulfield Guineas winner Mighty Boss who travelled up behind them on the corner but just never got a look in up the straight. He looks on the up and from the good barrier should get a nice run.
One to throw in at huge odds is Sovereign Nation. Despite not being well suited at WFA he still has very good form at G1 level to his name, including finishing 2nd to Tosen Stardom in the Toorak Handicap during the spring. If the speed is on he will be charging home late.
Race 7 (Blue Diamond Stakes)
In an extremely open Blue Diamond the Tony McEvoy trained Oohood could just be the best horse in the race despite having not won a race yet. She has been electric at the end in both the Blue Diamond Preview and Prelude, clocking the fastest last 600m from both the boys and girls on both occasions. The step up to 1200m today will suit her perfectly and it is hard to see them holding her out at the end this time.
Another runner who is yet to win a race, Plague Stone looks the hardest to beat as well. He got caught wide and over raced on debut as an odds on favourite and then trialled like a bomb at Warwick Farm in preparation for his first up run this prep. Unfortunately he had no luck whatsoever again last time in the Blue Diamond Prelude where he was caught 3 and 4 wide without cover but still closed off solidly to the line to finish 2nd again. With any amount of luck this time he will be very hard to beat.
If you can forgive one bad run then Ollivander represents good value at massive odds. Last start was just too bad to be true really when he was under pressure from the 600m and dropped out to be beaten 9L as second favourite. Before that though he ran a cracking race in the BD Preview splitting Long Leaf and Run Naan so he clearly has the ability to match it with those at the top of the market.
Race 8 (Oakleigh Plate)
Expect them to go hard in this like they always do and the star filly Catchy to be rattling home over the top with just 51.5kg on her back. She was very impressive in the Danehill during the spring but didn't look to stay the mile when they stepped her up into the Caulfield Guineas. Then back to 1200m in the Coolmore just put a line through the race when she was almost knocked over when travelling strongly into the race.
Bons Away is another who should get a good run into the race. Her spring form fell away a little bit towards the end but if she can repeat her win over Brave Smash in the Testa Rossa here then she is going to be very hard to beat.
If you are looking for a complete blow out for quaddies then Lady Esprit could be worth including at big odds. She will go around in excess of 50-1 again after defeating Snitty Kitty last start at a similar price when she flew home from the back. Barrier 19 doesn't help but there is going to be a lot of pressure in this race and if she can just repeat her performance from last start then she has to be a live chance.
Race 9 (Peter Young)
With little to no on speed pace in this race and with a great second up record Gailo Chop picks himself as the horse to beat. First up over 1600m he sat on the speed before taking over in the straight and drawing clear for an impressive win over Harlem and Lord Fandango.
Hartnell is probably the horse to beat but it's hard to judge his first up win in the Orr when more than half the field had hard luck stories and he just got his nose down on the line in a blanket finish. The run of Single Gaze who charged home along the rails from near last on the corner to go down by a short half head was probably the better run and you are getting twice the price about her here.
Abbey Marie was another horse who had no luck in the straight in the Orr. She got horribly blocked and then charged through late to finish an eye catching 6th beaten less than a length.
It is very hard to draw a line through that form with so many runners having bad luck and 14 horses separated by just 2.4L so taking the more solid form lines of Gailo Chop through the Carlyon Cup looks the better bet.
1,4,5,10 / 4,5,8,16 / 2,11,12,17,18 / 1,2,8,9