Queen Elizabeth Preview
It is impossible to tip against WINX going for 25 wins in a row. She was too good for Happy Clapper over the mile last start before he went on to win the Doncaster and the step up to 2000m will suit her far better today.
Betting through the ‘Winx Out’ markets looks to be the best strategy to play and you can't go past GAILO CHOP dropping back to his ideal trip of 2000m. He simply didn't stay the 2400m last start in the Tancred Stakes but before that had been a model of consistency through the Autumn with dominant G1 wins including in the Ranvet over this trip two starts ago. If he can shrug off that one poor run under unsuitable conditions last time he looks the clear second best horse in the race and once again there doesn't look to be a heap of on speed pace.
Last week's Doncaster Handicap winner HAPPY CLAPPER will no doubt go in as one of the favourites behind Winx after he ran a race record to win on that occasion. Add in the fact he was also very competitive with the wonder mare at his previous start as well when running 2nd in the George Ryder. His form at the trip has to be a massive concern though with 0 wins coming from his 7 starts over 2000m. He clearly prefers the mile and there could be a few too strong at the end of the race for him here unless they walk in front.
HUMIDOR was an eye catcher coming through the Doncaster. Carrying top weight of 58kg he settled well back off the pace before surging through the pack late. The run suggested he will be crying out for the 2000m he will get here and if his 2017 Cox Plate run is anything to go by he could be the only horse capable of defeating Winx on his day.
The UK raider SUCCESS DAYS throws a bit of interest into the mix. He has been racing against some of the best horses middle distance in Europe lately such as Cracksman which is extremely strong form for an Australian 2000m race, but given he has been going around at big odds and being well beaten it is hard to put much merit into the performances.
Queen Elizabeth Tips
1 - Winx
2 - Gailo Chop
3 - Humidor
Sydney Cup Preview
Despite having to carry top weight of 57 kg ALMANDIN has to go on top of the selections. The former Melbourne Cup winner has returned in brilliant form this Autumn with all three runs being highly impressive. He was horribly blocked for a run two starts ago in the Australian Cup and then last time proved far too strong for a good field in the Tancred Stakes. Up to the 2 miles should be a big plus based on his previous Melbourne Cup performance and we have seen him perform well with big weights in the past so no real concerns with the 57 kg against this line up.
The old boy WHO SHOT THEBARMAN looks toughest to beat, going around in his 5th Sydney Cup he will be looking to notch up his first win in the race after finishing runner up on two previous occasions. After working home solidly over unsuitable distances at his first couple starts this time in he put in a fantastic Sydney Cup trial in the Tancred Stakes when charging home from last to finish 3rd beaten 1.4 lengths by Almandin. We know he loves every yard of the 2 miles and with a 2kg pull in the weights on Almandin could cause the upset.
The Japanese runner PRE STWICK certainly creates a lot of interest. While not one of Japan's leading stayers he does have decent form around some good quality stayers including former Melbourne Cup favourite Fame Game and Albert. He should appreciate the Sydney way of going with 5 of his 6 wins coming when racing right handed and the distance will be no issues. He is well weighted with just 53kg and has to be included in all exotics.
Sydney Cup Tips
1 - Almandin
2 - Who Shot Thebarman
3 - Pre Stwick
Australian Oaks Preview
After a dominant front running display last start it is hard to imagine how HIYAAM won't start this race as favourite. She ran them along in front before kicking clear in the straight and never looking like being beaten running strongly through the line. Her breeding suggests that the step up to 2400m will only be a positive as well, while many of her main rivals are bred to perform better over shorter distances. Given that she had the better of most of her main rivals last start with a dominant win and looks the most likely to improve with the extra trip she has to be tipped on top.
UNFORGOTTEN ran 2nd to Hiyaam in the Vinery Stud and with that looking like the correct form lines for this race she has to go in as next best. She probably got too far out of her ground last start and had to make a long run but she kept coming all the way to the line to go down by 1.8 lengths lengths to Hiyaam. Those two gapped the rest of the field on that day though with the third horse finishing over 4 lengths away. Being a Fastnet Rock filly there are probably others bred to run the trip out stronger, but on class alone she should be in the mix and run home into the top three.
Not a lot has gone right for ALOISIA this prep and it continued last start in the Vinery Stud when she got trapped back and wide before eventually running on for a credible 3rd place finish. It is hard to ignore her performance in the VRC Oaks during the spring though when she went in with much stronger form and started an odds on favourite before failing to see out the trip. Even though her last run was pretty good under the conditions it is hard to have any confidence in her whatsoever at this distance and at the price she is in the market is one of the first few to probably put a line through from a betting perspective.
SAVVY COUP brings over some strong form lines from NZ where she has been the dominant filly and has to be included in everything.
Australian Oaks Tips
1 - Hiyaam
2 - Unforgotten
3 - Savvy Coup
Suggested Quadrella Bet
9 / 1,2,6,17 / 1,3,5,6,13,17 / 1,2,3,8,11,14 - $64 = 50%
Other Horse Racing Tips
Randwick R3 - Outback Barbie
Randwick R9 - Eckstein
Morphettville R4 - Waging War